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By Patrick Lockerby | April 9th 2009 06:24 PM | 19 comments | Print | E-mail | Track Comments
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About Patrick Lockerby

Retired engineer, 60+ years young.
Computer builder and programmer.
Linguist specialising in language acquisition and computational linguistics.
Interested in every human endeavour except the... Full Bio

A recently released British film The Age of Stupid, uses good science to good effect in a projection of a possible future.  The theme is that if we do nothing about global climate change, then we are not living in an age of reason, but in an age of stupid.  In another blog, I posed the question:
Is this the age of stupid?

I propose to name the not stupid, and shame the stupid.


Rachel Carson

"There was once a town in the heart of America where all life seemed to live in harmony with its surroundings ... Then a strange blight crept over the area and everything began to change ... There was a strange stillness ... The few birds seen anywhere were moribund; they trembled violently and could not fly. It was a spring without voices. On the mornings that had once throbbed with the dawn chorus of scores of bird voices there was now no sound; only silence lay over the fields and woods and marsh."

"Silent Spring, serialized in the New Yorker in June 1962, gored corporate oxen all over the country. Even before publication, Carson was violently assailed by threats of lawsuits and derision, including suggestions that this meticulous scientist was a "hysterical woman" unqualified to write such a book. A huge counterattack was organized and led by Monsanto, Velsicol, American Cyanamid — indeed, the whole chemical industry — duly supported by the Agriculture Department as well as the more cautious in the media."

Time Magazine 100 Most Influential People of the Century

" Embedded within all of Carson's writing was the view that human beings were but one part of nature distinguished primarily by their power to alter it, in some cases irreversibly.

"the insecticide barrage had been augmented by dieldrin, parathion, heptachlor, malathion and other fearful compounds many times stronger than DDT, all of which the government planned to distribute through the Department of Agriculture for public use and commercial manufacture."

Time Magazine.

"Carson was attacked by the chemical industry and some in government as an alarmist, but courageously spoke out to remind us that we are a vulnerable part of the natural world subject to the same damage as the rest of the ecosystem. Testifying before Congress in 1963, Carson called for new policies to protect human health and the environment. Rachel Carson died in 1964 after a long battle against breast cancer."

Rachel Carson


Junk science attacks on Rachel Carson debunked at Bug girl's blog.

.............................................................................................................................................
Building A Straw Man Out Of Red Herrings.

CEI, the Competitive Enterprise Institute is a climate denier activist recruitment site which attempts to camouflage its pro-corporate climate denial agenda by refering to its own activities as a "fight for liberty" by "a community of thousands of pro-freedom activists". It classifies all of its opponents, all economists who urge caution, all who warn of global climate change as luddites, religious left, malthusians etc. Bureaucrash.com, a Blomquist site, is dedicated to activism against the state. In other words, whatever people in a democratic society vote for as a policy geared to leaving this planet in good condition for our descendents, Cord Blomquist is against it.

He will even defend his freedom to pollute by spreading false information about scientists working in the field of climate change and pollution studies, as reported by New Scientist 04 November 2006
"I am used to being in the firing line against individuals and organisations who are motivated by ideology or commercial interests to undermine the scientific community. However, I am concerned that this episode might be evidence of wider campaign by ExxonMobil, and the lobby groups it funds, of personalised attacks on the integrity of individuals who convey the views of the scientific community on climate change."

Bob Ward, exerpt from a letter to Al Gore, 4 January 2007

“ExxonMobil last year provided more than $2.9 million to organisations in the United States which misinformed the public about climate change through their websites.”

“Exxon’s director of corporate affairs, Mr. Nick Thomas, rang me and said that the author of the letter to ExxonMobil had left the Royal Society. I asked whether he had been sacked, and Mr. Thomas said that he could not possibly comment, but it was clearly significant. The implication was left hanging in the air. When I checked, I found that Bob Ward, the senior manager at the Royal Society, had been promoted into another job. The Royal Society is standing by every word that he wrote, as it made clear in a subsequent press release attempting to deal with internet rumours.”

UK House of Commons debate, Hansard, 12 Oct 2006.

Bob Ward is also noteworthy as having complained about inaccuracies in a Channel 4 documentary and DVD "The Great Global Warming Swindle". In an email, 20 September 2007 to Martin Durkin, Bob Ward, made a well-reasoned, point-by-point appeal for the rectification of specific misrepresentations of fact.
"Climate change is an important issue and the public have a right to expect that the information they receive is accurate. The DVD version of ‘The Great Global Warming Swindle’ contains major factual inaccuracies. You were told of these inaccuracies before copies of the DVD were available for sale, so your decision to distribute them anyway constitutes an attempt to deliberately mislead the public about climate change."

The response was:

"From: Martin Durkin
Sent: 20 September 2007 14:31

To: Bob Ward

Bob,

Are you on drugs or something?"



"No one any longer seriously disputes the link between solar activity and temperature in earth's climate history."

This was Martin Durkin's straw man argument - in - telegraph.co.uk  This fact was never disputed because it is climatology 101. The sun warms the Earth. The sun's output fluctuates in a predictable manner. The global climate is subject to regular variation from that source q.e.d.
..........................................................................................................................
A Right To Pollute?

Freedom is fundamental to our global civilisation. But where there is a right, there must be an accompanying duty falling on somebody's shoulders. Corporate activists are demanding the right to continue with the economics of greed and profligate waste, through the mechanisms of propaganda and misinformation, thus imposing on our descendants an obligation to live in a heavily impoverished environment.

CEI hosts a series of videos in which a man in a white 'mr. scientist' coat presents 'simpletons guides' to various topics. In a guide purporting to be about ethanol, ddt is discussed. Facts are distorted to present the agenda of big business. Comments are disabled, so not only is this bad science, but it is also a stifling of scientific debate. The man, un-named on the web page is Richard Morrison.

Here is what CEI wants you to believe:

This video is a guide to ethanol which endorses the bad science in the ddt debate.
"The story starts with one of the earliest founders of modern environmentalism, rachel carson"
"the supposedly lethal nature of modern pesticides, especially the insecticide ddt."

Supposedly? If dieldrin, parathion, heptachlor, malathion and ddt are'nt lethal then perhaps Cord Blomquist and Richard Morrison can be persuaded to ingest a teaspoonful of each on public television.

The website ceiondemand.org is one of many owned by, operated by, or associated with Cord Blomquist., who certainly knows more about keyword stuffing than he does about climate science.

ceiondemand.org uses irrelevant search terms to attract visitors. People using popular search engines to find scientific articles about anthropogenic climate change and related issues are thus quite likely to find a biased site set up by the climate change denier and corporate lobby supporter
Cord Blomquist.


These are the meta keywords (invisible search terms) used for ceiondemand.org to boost its search engine ranks:
"hah, creativity, electricity, energy, environment, humanity, invention, progress, prosperity, technology, all videos, cei shorts, bailout, barack obama, budget, cap and trade, card check, cnbc, economic policy, interview, spending, stimulus, taxes, taxpayers, warren buffett, carbon dioxide, climate change, co2, global warming, greenhouse effect, hockey stick, ipcc, unfccc, debt, deficit, earmarks, politics as usual, pork, pork-barrel, promises, featured, capitalism, collectivism, conservatism, constitution, economics, economy, future, individualism, libertarian, liberty, old left, socialist, news appearances, banking, boston tea party, default, finance, foreclosure, homes, housing crisis, interest, investors, mortgage, obama, property values, real estate, ban, bottled water, chemical risk, consumer choice, consumer protection, nrdc, safety, tap water, water quality, agriculture, alternative energy, biofuels, drinking water, ethanol, factsaboutethanol, marlo lewis, climate, globalwarming.org, greenpeace, tv debate, alarmist, cei, chris horner, cooler heads coalition, red hot lies, skeptics, children, dehydration, disaster, donation, earthquake, emergency, fema, flood, health, hurricane, katrina, new orleans, tornado"

Comments

Hank's picture
Obviously I am inclided to agree with your overall point; putting a head in the sand about environmental issues is a recipe for disaster.   But by invoking Carson, who claimed to understand the importance of systems and then ignored them, to the tune of millions dead from malaria and mutant insects created from synthetic products to replace DDT that had to be created lest we have millions of people starving from food ruined by insects, you are sort of making the point that opponents of environmental action make about activists; truth, accuracy and science are unimportant as long as something gets done.   ;)

Ask epidemiologists what they think of Silent Spring.   You won't like what you hear.    Junk science from a well-meaning activist is no better than junk science from Exxon.

P.S. Do meta keywords even get used any more?  Boston Tea Party??  Seriously??

P.P.S.  Regarding Martin Durkin and Bob Ward, Al Gore's movie had many inaccuracies too.   All of them were well known before the DVD went on sale so "You were told of these inaccuracies before copies of the DVD were available for sale, so your decision to distribute them anyway constitutes an attempt to deliberately mislead the public about climate change" goes both ways.    I was at the AAAS conference in February when Al Gore put up a slide I knew was completely hysterical but it isn't 2001 any more and the scientists there, even in a room full of fans, objected afterward enough on the grounds that intentional exaggerations and inaccuracies do more harm than good, that he removed the offensive slide from later presentations.

adaptivecomplexity's picture
P.S. Do meta keywords even get used any more?  Boston Tea Party??  Seriously??

So meta keywords are why I sometimes get ridiculous Google search results? People must still use them, because obviously scammy sites that have nothing to do with my search still show up.

logicman's picture
obviously scammy sites that have nothing to do with my search still show up.

Which annoys the hell out of me, Michael.  When I am looking for some obscure bit of research, like how prehistoric Greeks invented the bagpipe and the twinkie, I hate to get hundreds of results of which one is from a university and the rest from people who want to waste my time.

At least things are improving.  There was a time when, if you searched for 'global warming', you would get lots of results like: 'Cheapest global warming prices on the web.'

adaptivecomplexity's picture
 'Cheapest global warming prices on the web.'

That actually sounds useful!

logicman's picture
That was a very swift response, Hank.

I omitted a link to Bug girl's blog, now corrected:
"the stuff that as an entomologist, I’m uniquely qualified to comment
on. I know about bugs. I know about pesticides. I’ve taught
parasitology for over 5 years."


Yes, it's old stuff, but I posted this because of an anonymous comment I saw posted on a website about how those nasty environmentalists were wrong about ddt, therefore all of climate science is bunk.  Classic non sequiteur!

Junk science carries a lot of momentum.

Gerhard Adam's picture
This is simply another case of the failure of economic theory.  I am of the mind that companies should be 100% responsible for ensuring that production is environmentally clean and sound.  Why?

Because it is the only way to determine what the actual costs of production are.  It has nothing to do with being conscientious, or "green", but rather to build a true economic model what what various products cost us.  Only by knowing the true costs can we make adjustments and have businesses compete that are producing the desired products at the lowest total cost.

In the past, the assumption was that business should be allowed to produce while the taxpayer got tapped to clean up after them.  This is a faulty economic model and cannot work. 

There are also obvious problems with the way GNP is calculated, where the good and the bad are counted equally in terms of contributing to economic growth.  Without getting into the politics of these situations, it is important that we begin to get accurate numbers about our standard of living and how it can be realistically maintained instead of burying all the hidden costs in the third world or on the taxpayer's back.

logicman's picture
Gerhard:  I have major issues as a taxpayer with the economic model wherein big business gets to be funded by me through tax-deductables such as advertising (which includes setting up denier websites) and lobbying.  This is democracy, 21st century style: the taxpayer pays for lobbyists to persuade governments to do things which are against the taxpayers' interests.

Hank:  I omitted to mention about SEO.  Yes, meta tags are still used - as also hidden codes and white text on white paper - visible to search bots but not usually to us mere mortals.

'The new boston tea party' is a denier web site that really loves to SHOUT about everything.  It also likes to cut and paste entire Wikipedia pages.  I most definitely do not want to post a hyperlink.  It might boost their page ranking.     :)

Gerhard Adam's picture
I live in a part of the country that has/had a fair amount of logging and people often wonder why I was opposed to it.  Invariably I had to explain, that these trees ultimately belong to the people NOT the logging companies, and that any company that got a deal with the federal government whereby the taxpayers paid for roads, and subsidized the retrieval and logging operations, then the taxpayers should derive some benefit from it.

Instead, the logging companies are selling the timber overseas at reduced rates, and then importing the finished products back to sell to the people that funded the entire business to begin with.  This is sheer insanity.  I don't have a problem in cutting down trees, but since they are OUR resources, then they should be usable by US first and not simply something to enrich somebody with a sweetheart deal with the feds.

logicman's picture
Gerhard:

Way back at the dawn of history there was a tax on beasts of burden.  With every year that passed the tax was increased.  It got to the point that poor people had to sell their beasts to pay the taxes.  Ultimately, with the new 99% wealth tax, the King seized the animals in lieu of tax.  Since that time, no country has ever been able to get around a fundamental law of political economics:

wherever you live, whatever political system you live under, you can never get away from the simple fact that the government owns your ass.

Steve Davis's picture
these trees ultimately belong to the people NOT the logging companies...
This is an important point Gerhard, and one that might surprise many people. I was surprised to learn just a few days ago that even Herbert Spencer agreed with this concept. He tried to wriggle around it later in life, but never repudiated it.

Gerhard Adam's picture
Yes, because my point is that without knowing the fully loaded costs of producing anything (including things that companies are given by the government/taxpayers), etc. then we can't make intelligent decisions about our standard of living.  Using the lumber example, if companies had to grow their trees on tree farms for logging, then the costs would be radically different and I, for one, wouldn't fault them to charge whatever they like for their product.  However, when I'm subsidizing the product, I have a real problem if we (citizens) don't have a stronger voice in how these resources are used and why someone should profit from something they don't actually own.

BTW ... good to hear from you Steve.  It's been a while ...

It looks like everyone is having a conversation where they all agree. & what's the point of that? Here's my dilemma, & I don't say this to spark controversy - or, *just* to spark controversy - but in the hopes of people using this site for all it's worth.

9 out of 10 online discussions about global warming & environmentalism end up breaking down into partisanship w/one side calling the other stupid and/or dumbing down the theories to the point of absurdity. There's a lot of hype about all this stuff, but I've yet to find real substantive info; partly this is b/c, I admit, I'm not sure if I should be bothered. It's along the lines of that feeling you get - if you read a lot of books - of a temporary phobia of walking into bookstores (eg, I can't do it, I'm committed to the books I'm reading now); but part of it is also b/c if feels like society is violently trying to shove so many alarmist environmentalist ideas down everyone's throat that I can't help but close my throat on instinct.

From an outsider or novice's perspective, I think there are lots of reasons to be skeptical, & I haven't yet seen adequate responses to them. Many of these were brought up in the film the Great Global Warming Swindle - which before even getting into it, has been the target of British media regulators (http://www.ofcom.org.uk/tv/obb/prog_cb/obb114/issue114.pdf). I don't know how often this occurs, but you know that when the gov't is trying to regulate just a regular documentary - & it really wasn't *that* malicious, nothing compared to Michael Moore - something is off. Likewise w/in the film was the topic of misrepresentation of scientists who agreed w/the IPCC-determined "scientific consensus" on global warming. They also presented a sunspot theory for global warming, which seemed to be taking hold of some. A founding member of Greenpeace spoke out against the movement. & they discussed how funding is so much easier when you can connect your science to a political movement.

Further when you look at environmentalism's track-record, it has a history of raising all sorts of alarmist cries - like about running out of food, water, air, & trees - none of which seemed to have come true. At the risk of being labeled "stupid" my concern is that we know that sudden & stringent carbon emission regulations will have severely negative economic side-effects, which would likely hit poorer countries harder. But we know considerably less about whether global-warming is man-made - or even exists - & further, about how much proposed regulations will actually help. Democratic citizens are jaded to hearing things like, "If we don't act now & drastically it'll be too late...no really". But oftentimes this simply leads to careless errors (like the AIG bonuses) and/orincreased gov't power (like PATRIOT act) that many in retrospect argue really don't do much.

I would think that in these sorts of endeavors, caution before action is your best guide; science has made many errors, but at worst they involve missteps like prescribing statins to millions of African Americans, not deliberately paralyzing a large portion of the economy. It feels like we're proposing chemotherapy before any cancer has been diagnosed, much less confirmed & agree upon. & when gov'ts feel justified in bashing a decent documentary that wasn't even made by Michael Moore something smells fishy.

Gerhard Adam's picture
Well, I guess you can count yourself fortuanate that we haven't run out of food, water, air, etc.  I take it that you're exaggerating these claims, although it should be pretty obvious that humans have an issue in keeping our necessary resources clean and usable.

I don't think we should act now or drastically, since the only thing we know less about regarding climate change, is how input from us can change it even more.  Once again, though I don't think the issue is climate change, but rather one group being adamant about it's human origins while the other group, just as adamant about claiming no human causes.

What possible difference does it make?  To deny climate change simply to maintain a political agenda is truly stupid.  It's a simple enough thing to establish.  Over the past few decades, is there a systemic increase in temperature.  Simple.  I don't want to hear about how it might be cyclic, or it happens periodicially, or it's only reverting to normal.  Those are simply red-herring arguments.  The question is real simple.  Over the past few decades has the climate gotten warmer.

If no, then don't worry about it.  If yes, then we need to figure out what, if any, ramifications it means to us.  As for taking action .... what action can we confidently predict the outcome for?

"To deny climate change simply to maintain a political agenda is truly stupid."

As is to assert that climate change exists simply to maintain a political agenda.

I was just going over this article from the WSJ, http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB110834031507653590-DUadAZBzxH0Siu..., which raises doubts about whether global warming is even occurring. Maybe you're all more familiar w/this *scientific* controversy & can fill me in. But from an outsiders' perspective it seems like the public is being fed more propaganda than substance about the issue.

Gerhard Adam's picture

You missed my point.  The question is simple and not controversial.  Either the temperature trend is going up or it isn't.  There is no controversy. 

The mere fact that someone can "raise doubts" is suspect, because the question isn't that complicated.  I can appreciate that there may be a debate about whether something should be done, but as I said ... the question only requires a simple answer (and no interpretation).  Is the temperature going up or not?

The article doesn't debunk anything and is simply an amateur's attempt to discredit the data because it doesn't look right to him.  Also, my question asks nothing about the previous 1,000 years.  I only want to know how the temperature has been tracking for the past 50 years or so. 


If it is up, then things are warming up.  If it isn't, then they aren't.  Not complicated.  Once that basic question is answered, then the second phase is to determine how to interpret that information.


Everything you've showed me and that I've read wants to put the interpretation ahead of the data and that's why this basic question seems to never get answered.



Gerhard Adam's picture
Sounds like more nonsense.  They want to ensure that there are "no reprisals" against the author?  Sounds like they know exactly what is involved and what the agenda is.

kerrjac's picture
They do know what is involved&what the agenda is. The point is that it's not science, it's politics.

briantaylor's picture
Don't know how I missed this Patrick. This is now one of my more favourite peices of yours.
I t made me think of a story...
A couple years ago I worked a booth at an environmental fair in a rural community near my city. (I work for one of the largest, oldest chemical companies in the world, can you guess which?) I was placed beside a booth that was "explaining" global warming. The woman at the booth was in her fifties and pleasant enough, despite her toothless spitting and muddy gumboots. Her demeanor was very laid back:  west coat hippy farmer style, except in spastic moments of exuberant evangelising about how we're all screwed.
I, being me, decided to ask her what was up her craw?
She convinced me she new at least as much about natural science as I did. She even said the  words, "Trust me, I'm a Scientist." Which tickled me in ways that still make me smile.
I asked her what she thought of the claims that there were inaccuracies in Al Gore's "Hockeystick" graph representation and specifically the "Swindle" film. She said that any nut can say anything on the internet.
While this fact is undeniably true it does not make anywhere near an argument worth persuing. So I didn't. Nor did she defend her position beyond re-proclaiming her trustworthiness.
After having read your article and the comments afterward I came to realise that this woman exemplified the same obtuse faith as any other closed community.
She was following a consensus.
That consensus was, at least, politically and economically motivated.
The possibility of compromise is very real.


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