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By Hatice Cullingford | November 8th 2008 10:14 PM | Track Comments

About Hatice Cullingford

Welcome to my universe.. where there is Peace University.

As Fine Scientist, PhD, I write about my interest in various fields, from energy to space, chemistry, mathematics, plants, paleontology... Full Bio

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Two observations are remarkable today about the ozone-hole measurements. Both have been in the books for a while. First, the peak size in 2008 is larger than the one in 2007. Second, NOAA is getting ready for a new environmental satellite. I will also make a prediction for the next year.

The 90-day ozone-hole period begins in late August with increased measurements at the Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station (ASSPS). Balloon-borne ozonesondes are launched two to three times a week in this period to monitor the development of the ozone hole over Antarctica. Before the rapid destruction of the stratospheric ozone ensues, the peak ozone concentration occurs at about 11 miles in altitude and at a total column amount of about 250 Dobson Units (DU). Total ozone diminishes at a rate of 3 to 5 DU per day throughout the month of September. Finally, nearly all the ozone is destroyed within a layer from 8.4 to 13.2 miles.

Recently, NOAA scientists reported that the seasonal peak had passed in September. NASA satellites measured on September 12 the maximum size of the 2008-ozone-hole at an area of 10.5 million square miles and a depth of 4 miles. As my list below shows, this is larger than 2007's size, which was lower than 2006's by 14.9%.

List of some ozone thicknesses at ASSPS and some ozone-hole sizes:
28 September 2008:  107 DU
12 September 2008:  10.5 million square miles and 4 miles deep (5th largest)
08 October 2007:  9.7 million square miles (about the size of N America)
09 October 2006:  11.4 million square miles (the largest)
12 October 1993:  89 DU (the lowest)

Last year's hole was about as large as North America. This year's hole is larger than North America by 8.2%. These year-to-year fluctuations are mostly governed by the weather at the stratosphere and the various harmful human activities occurring globally. By late December, the southern-hemisphere's summer starts to build up the ozone level again for the annual cycle. 

The increase in the ozone-hole size in 2008 appears to be due to the climate change, i.e. the Antarctic-ice melting. Man-made influences have produced both the climate change and the ozone destruction at the Antarctic zone.

Currently, the formation and severity of the Antarctic ozone hole are monitored by a combination of satellite, ground-based, and balloon observations. The latest weather satellite in the Advanced Television Infrared Observational Satellites-N series, NOAA-N Prime has arrived at its launch site for the scheduled launch on 4 February 2009. This polar-orbiting satellite will provide imaging and measuring of the Earth's atmosphere. Environmental monitoring by NOAA-N Prime will include atmospheric ozone, aerosol distribution, sea surface temperature, and vertical temperature and water profiles in the troposphere and stratosphere.

NOAA will have an additional eye on the monitoring of the climate change and the ozone hole in 2009. My prediction for the next time is, unfortunately, a bigger hole in keeping up with the trend as set by many deleterious human activities. Do you agree with me?


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