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By Nicholas Horton | July 1st 2009 12:11 PM | 5 comments | Print | E-mail | Track Comments
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About Nicholas Horton

I'm a graduate student in mathematics at Portland State University. My areas of study are Quantum Game theory and Mathematical Biology with a focus in Evolution.

Outside of Math, my science interests... Full Bio

This is a review of a recent article, cooperation in Defense against a predator,  in the Journal of Theoretical Biology by Jozsef Garay of the Research Group of Theoretical Biology and Ecology of Hungarian Academy of Sciences.  Here’s the abstract:

The origin and the evolutionary stability of cooperation between unrelated individuals is one of the key problems of evolutionary biology.  In this paper, a cooperative defense game against a predator is introduced which is based on Hamilton’s selfish herd theory and Eshel’s survival game models.  Cooperation is altruistic in the sense that the individual, which is not the target of the predator, helps the members of the group attacked by the predator and during defensive action the helper individual may also die in any attack.  In order to decrease the long term predation risk, this individual has to carry out a high risk action.  Here I show that this kind of cooperative behaviour can evolve in small groups.  The reason for the emergence of cooperation is that if the predator does not kill a mate of a cooperative individual, then the survival probability of the cooperative individual will increase in two cases.  If the mate is non-cooperative, the–according to the dilution effect, the predator cofusion effect and the higher predator vigilance–the survival probability of the cooperative individual increases.  The second case is when the mate is cooperative, because a cooperative individual has a further gain, the active help in defence during further predator attacks.  Thus, if an individual can increase the survival rate of its mates (no matter whether the mate is cooperative or not), then its own predation risk will decrease.


Hamilton’s “selfish herd” theory (1971) claims that predation risk is lowered when animals huddle in groups, and is lowest for those that are in the middle of the “herd”.  Buffalo are a good example.  We call them selfish since if one Buffalo is attacked, the others don’t generally help it, they just run.  But, as a group they are safer in large numbers.

The trouble with such a theory is it doesn’t explain how altruistic behavior (helping out a fellow group member at the risk to oneself) would develop.  Garay’s paper aims to help make sense of how this is possible.

His argument hinges on a Game Theoretic model that shows that although in the short term, a non-altruistic strategy confers a better survival rate, in the long term the altruistic strategy does.

If there are only 2 animals, A and B, and we assume that a predator can only realistically attack one at a time, then the probability of A being attacked is 1/2 in a single round of predation.  So, in a one-shot game, if B is attacked, A’s best strategy is to cut and run, since helping B may result in injury or death.

But, if the same game is played over and over (that is, if they run the risk of being attacked often, as is the case in real life), then A’s best strategy is to help out B.  This might seem incongruous, but it isn’t.


If B dies in the first attack, then A’s probability of being attacked in the next round is 100%!  If he has a less than 100% chance of dying by way of helping B in the first attack than he is better off helping B since on the next round he’ll still have only a 50% chance of being attacked.  50% is certainly better than 100%!

The above is true even if B NEVER helps out A.  That is, if A is the only Altruistic one in the (2 man) group, then it is still to his advantage to continue to be altruistic.  But, if B also is altruistic (helps A when A is attacked) then this is all the better for A.  Also, B would then enjoy the same benefits as A.

What is interesting to me is that this argument doesn’t hinge on kin selection at all.  Kin selection is the idea that an individual is far more likely to come to aid of another individual who shares a large portion of their genome (like children, siblings, ect) than they are to a total (genetic) stranger.  But, here, the two don’t need to be related at all.  The risk of predation is enough to “glue” them to one another.


References:

Garay, Jozsef.  2009.  “Cooperation in Defence against a predator.”  Journal of Theoretical Biology.  257 (2009) 45-51.

Hamilton, W.D., 1971. “Geometry for the selfish herd.” Journal of Theoretical Biology. 31, 295-311.

Wilson, E.D. 1975. Sociobiology.  The Belknap Press Harvard University Press, Boston.



Comments

Gerhard Adam's picture
Good article.  As you may know I still have some objections to how some of these terms are used, but I agree that kin selection is the weakest explanation of the lot.  In particular, I suspect that the only reason why it even comes up is the coincidence that members of a group may well be related, but I don't see any basis for believing that that's why they cooperate.

We call them selfish since if one Buffalo is attacked, the others don’t generally help it, they just run.

That's the first problem.  They are not selfish, they are simply self-interested.  To call them selfish implies that they have an obligation to help which suggests that the standard of comparison is altruism.



His argument hinges on a Game Theoretic model that shows that although in the short term, a non-altruistic strategy confers a better survival rate, in the long term the altruistic strategy does.

This explanation may work for prey animals, but it begs the question of predator cooperation.

Once again, in my view, the explanation is much simpler.  There are only two types of individuals; altruistic or selfish.  In game theory they are the cooperator and the defector.  Selfish individuals degenerate to the lowest overall payoff, so while it may work for awhile, it isn't terribly robust or promising as a long-term strategy. 

In a strategy like Tit For Tat, the initial action is always altruistic.  In other words, the player must be willing to absorb the cost of a defector on the first turn after which punishment sets in.  However if the opponent also cooperates, then a overall cooperative strategy can form.  Therefore, we can see how the initial altruistic act can lead to a cooperative strategy.  Once this happens, it is virtually impossible for a defector to invade, so the cooperative approach becomes evolutionarily stable.

What is important to note is that the first step being altruistic, means that such creatures may be more prone to taking such risks.  It is also necessary to consider that it is like gambling, where it is only a potential risk (and potential benefit), with a correspondingly higher payoff that could be obtained normally.  Therefore altruistic behavior isn't based on failure, but rather gambling on the success of a particular action thereby benefiting both parties to a greater degree than would otherwise be possible.



Nicholas Horton's picture
You make an interesting point about an "altruistic" bias when we use the word "selfish" verses "self-interested".  It's largely semantic, but that said, a lot hinges on semantics! 

In iterated prisoner dilemma games, it is clearly true that to cooperate is a better long term strategy than is defect.  But, there are other games were this may not be true.  Depending on a species' situation, the proper game theoretic model of that situation may be such that non-cooperation is the best solution.  One would ask, for instance, why buffalo or schools of fish don't come to one anothers aid?  It may be that, in reference to the fitness of the group as a whole, it just doesn't pan out as a good strategy.  Shear numbers does the trick.

It's also worth mentioning that this study only looked at the 2x2 case, that is, 2 animals, 2 strategies.  If we increase the number of creatures in a group, we may lose much of the need for altruism to pass on good genes.

In that light, the vast majority of species that exhibit altruistic behavior tend to live in smaller groups than do schools of fish.  We humans did too during our "formative years".  A lot of open questions. 

Gerhard Adam's picture
One would ask, for instance, why buffalo or schools of fish don't come to one anothers aid?  It may be that, in reference to the fitness of the group as a whole, it just doesn't pan out as a good strategy.  Shear numbers does the trick.

There's no question that not all animals are necessarily willing to stand and fight.  However, their behavior isn't selfish simply because they don't help.  That's self-interested behavior or indifferent.  A great deal may have to do with how tightly knit the social group is, and whether this is simply a large gathering (such as in migrations), or whether it really represents a social group.  The role of indifference in this situation is that the animal simply doesn't engage in the game at all.  There can be no modeling done, since there is no interaction.


In most cases, animals tend to this indifference, so the fate of one over the other doesn't have much bearing unless there are social connections that get involved.  This is no different between humans where the concern for people you know is vastly different than the concern one might feel in a crowd (such as at a concert). 

Bear in mind, that the simple dynamics of moving in a large group may make many "cooperative" situations untenable.  It would be like trying to fight a crowd fleeing a burning building to rescue someone.  The tighter one is positioned within a group, the fewer degrees of motion are available and one can become more readily trapped than being freer to move (this is where the center of the herd concept becomes more difficult to justify).




It's also worth mentioning that this study only looked at the 2x2 case, that is, 2 animals, 2 strategies.  If we increase the number of creatures in a group, we may lose much of the need for altruism to pass on good genes.

In a group, there's a greater likelihood that the altruistic individuals, interacting with one another, will gain greater benefit and tend to ostracize the selfish individual (since they represent the lowest payout).  As a result, selfishness cannot invade an altruistic group.

There are other game theory strategies, such as Pavlov, which allow for selfish exploitation by altruistic individuals.  However, it is important to recognize that no animal or group will behave identically at all times.  This is why we need to consider that behaviors will tend to be self-interested and may manifest as selfish (exploitative), or altruistic (cooperative) based on the best strategy for the animal involved.  The closer the animal's survival is linked to the group itself, the greater the likelihood that altruism becomes the primary rule.



Steve Davis's picture

Interesting article Nick, and it's good to see you contributing to what I see as possibly the most important issue in behavioural studies. Good to see you taking a big-picture view too, Gerhard's magic must be working!
A couple of points. Hamilton's Geometry for the Selfish Herd is so full of abuses of the scientific method and countless assumptions that it's almost useless as a source. It should be used as a text on how to detect sloppy logic.


On herd animals, some do flee from danger, others take protective steps in a common defence. As Gerhard pointed out, these things can be very fluid. It might well be that herds that flee will take on a common defence after their initial panic has subsided. With fish, common defence is not an option given the huge disparity in size between predator and prey in most cases. Common defence would just be an easier meal for the predator.



Gerhard Adam's picture
You make an interesting point about an "altruistic" bias when we use the word "selfish" verses "self-interested".  It's largely semantic, but that said, a lot hinges on semantics!

I've thought about this a bit more and felt that maybe there's a better way to show that it isn't a question of semantics.

Consider a logical argument in which we indicate that a person may be "selfish" or "altruistic".  In other words, this is an attribute that the individual has.  We clearly couldn't say that selfish people may be altruistic and altruists may be selfish, since that is simply circular and tells us less than nothing. Using the language of game theory, that would be tantamount to saying that "defectors" may be "cooperators" and "cooperators" may be "defectors". 

Instead, we need a third term to describe the uncommitted state of the individual before they have acted in any particular way.  It is my contention that that term be "self-interested" as describing an individual that has choices in how they can interact.  Then we can say that "self-interested" individuals may behave "selfishly" or "altruistically" without have any logical contradictions or ambuigity in meaning.

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